Donald Trump’s criminal trial is nearing its end and the verdict could have a big impact on the 2024 presidential election between Trump and President Biden.
Right now, Trump has a slight lead in national polls and in key states that will likely decide the election. However, he could be found guilty of some or all of the nearly three dozen felony charges he faces in his trial in New York City, a historic first for a former or current president.
Two experienced pollsters, Chris Anderson and Neil Newhouse, don’t think a guilty verdict would have an impact and change the dynamics of the election. They believe people’s opinions about Trump and President Biden are already firmly set.
Trump is accused of falsifying business records related to payments made to adult film actress Stormy Daniels to keep quiet about their alleged affair in 2006. Trump denies the allegations and claims the trial is unfair and politically motivated.
Despite the intense media attention, polls suggest that a guilty verdict might not sway voters. A recent survey found that 62% of voters said a guilty verdict would not change their vote for president. Only 21% said it would make them less likely to vote for Trump, while 15% said it would make them more likely to support him.
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